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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Cody Gibson

UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir ·Ginasio Gigantinho

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Cody Gibson
75% 25%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
30
Age
Δ 2y
27
29-8
Career record
Δ 16 pp
22-13
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Silva de Andrade: 39 sig / 0 TD · Gibson: 30 sig / 0 TD
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Cody Gibson
29
Sig strikes landed
39
68
Sig strikes attempted
94
47
Total strikes landed
52
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
74s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Douglas Silva de Andrade

"D Silva"
29-8 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
Blue corner
L1

Cody Gibson

"The Renegade"
22-13
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
W UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
L UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann