Main
Welterweight
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Sean Strickland
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
·Ginasio Gigantinho
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Santiago Ponzinibbio
Sean Strickland
45%
55%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
28
Age
Δ 4y
24
32-9
Career record
Δ 4 pp
32-7
W1
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ponzinibbio: 50 sig / 1 TD ·
Strickland: 44 sig / 2 TD
Santiago Ponzinibbio
Sean Strickland
28
Sig strikes landed
35
85
Sig strikes attempted
86
38
Total strikes landed
51
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.7
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
65s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Santiago Ponzinibbio
"Argentine Dagger"
32-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
Blue corner
W2
Sean Strickland
32-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
—
W
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—