Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Andy Ogle
Makwan Amirkhani
44%
56%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
26
Age
Δ 0y
26
L3
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ogle: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Amirkhani: 6 sig / 0 TD
Andy Ogle
Makwan Amirkhani
29
Sig strikes landed
39
61
Sig strikes attempted
76
48
Total strikes landed
71
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.3
4.8
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
206s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Andy Ogle
"The Little Axe"
9-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
5 fights · 1-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDona…
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
—
Blue corner
Makwan Amirkhani
"Mr. Finland"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26