Back to UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson
Prelims1 Welterweight

Kenny Robertson vs Sultan Aliev

UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson ·Tele2 Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Kenny Robertson
Sultan Aliev
51% 49%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
31
Age
Δ 0y
30
W2
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Robertson: 14 sig / 0 TD · Aliev: 8 sig / 0 TD
Kenny Robertson
Sultan Aliev
32
Sig strikes landed
32
57
Sig strikes attempted
63
47
Total strikes landed
48
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
5.0
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
209s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Kenny Robertson

16-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
—
W UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
L UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
W UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
L UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
Blue corner

Sultan Aliev

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30