Prelims1
Welterweight
Nicholas Musoke vs Albert Tumenov
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson
·Tele2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Nicholas Musoke
Albert Tumenov
35%
65%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
29
Age
Δ 6y
23
14-5
Career record
Δ 9 pp
19-4
W1
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Musoke: 65 sig / 0 TD ·
Tumenov: 87 sig / 0 TD
Nicholas Musoke
Albert Tumenov
26
Sig strikes landed
32
87
Sig strikes attempted
81
48
Total strikes landed
41
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.5
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
178s
Control time
88s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Nicholas Musoke
"Nico"
14-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
Blue corner
W2
Albert Tumenov
"Einstein"
19-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs S…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—