Prelims1
Lightweight
Efrain Escudero vs Rodrigo de Lima
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch
·1stBank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Efrain Escudero
Rodrigo de Lima
74%
26%
Why
29
Age
Δ 5y
24
28-13
Career record
Δ 7 pp
8-4-1
L4
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Escudero: 94 sig / 2 TD ·
de Lima: 24 sig / 3 TD
Efrain Escudero
Rodrigo de Lima
39
Sig strikes landed
31
84
Sig strikes attempted
66
69
Total strikes landed
55
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.2
Takedowns attempted
5.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
176s
Control time
220s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L4
Efrain Escudero
"Hecho En Mexico"
28-13
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
6 fights · 1-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
L
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
L
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
W
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—
Blue corner
L1
Rodrigo de Lima
"Monstro"
8-4-1
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—