Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Michel Prazeres
Kevin Lee
64%
36%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 10"
77"
34
Age
Δ 11y
22
27-4
Career record
Δ 17 pp
19-8
W2
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Prazeres: 33 sig / 3 TD ·
Lee: 62 sig / 4 TD
Michel Prazeres
Kevin Lee
31
Sig strikes landed
37
74
Sig strikes attempted
101
58
Total strikes landed
81
2.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
7.4
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
239s
Control time
203s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Michel Prazeres
"Tractor"
27-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
W
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—
L
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
—
Blue corner
W2
Kevin Lee
"The Motown Phenom"
19-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—
L
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
—