Main
Welterweight
Neil Magny vs Kiichi Kunimoto
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch
·1stBank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Neil Magny
Kiichi Kunimoto
81%
19%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 8"
72"
28
Age
Δ 6y
34
32-15
Career record
Δ 0 pp
19-7-2
W5
Current streak
W3
8
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Magny: 76 sig / 3 TD ·
Kunimoto: 10 sig / 1 TD
Neil Magny
Kiichi Kunimoto
41
Sig strikes landed
21
79
Sig strikes attempted
58
61
Total strikes landed
35
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.6
Takedowns attempted
5.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
106s
Control time
195s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
32-15
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—
W
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
—
Blue corner
W3
Kiichi Kunimoto
"Strasser"
19-7-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
W
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
—