Main
Women's Bantamweight
Raquel Pennington vs Holly Holm
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
·Staples Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Raquel Pennington
Holly Holm
62%
38%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
26
Age
Δ 7y
33
W1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Pennington: 40 sig / 0 TD ·
Holm: 44 sig / 0 TD
Raquel Pennington
Holly Holm
50
Sig strikes landed
35
96
Sig strikes attempted
77
76
Total strikes landed
64
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
125s
Control time
132s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Raquel Pennington
"Rocky"
17-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
L
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—
Blue corner
Holly Holm
"The Preacher's Daughter"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33