🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Bantamweight
Ronda Rousey vs Cat Zingano
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
·Staples Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ronda Rousey
Cat Zingano
71%
29%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
28
Age
Δ 5y
33
13-2
Career record
Δ 13 pp
11-4
W4
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Rousey: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Zingano: 0 sig / 0 TD
Ronda Rousey
Cat Zingano
28
Sig strikes landed
13
38
Sig strikes attempted
21
43
Total strikes landed
29
1.7
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.2
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
152s
Control time
157s
Method
Decision
16%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
54%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Ronda Rousey
"Rowdy"
13-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
—
W
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
W
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
Blue corner
W2
Cat Zingano
"Alpha"
11-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—