Back to The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale
Main Women's Strawweight

Jessica Penne vs Randa Markos

The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jessica Penne
Randa Markos
69% 31%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
64"
32
Age
Δ 3y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Penne: 39 sig / 4 TD · Markos: 55 sig / 1 TD
Jessica Penne
Randa Markos
42
Sig strikes landed
40
90
Sig strikes attempted
85
71
Total strikes landed
64
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
167s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Jessica Penne

0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner

Randa Markos

"Quiet Storm"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29