Main
Lightweight
Joe Proctor vs Yancy Medeiros
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale
·Pearl Concert Theater
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Joe Proctor
Yancy Medeiros
54%
46%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
12-5
Career record
Δ 4 pp
16-8
W2
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Proctor: 15 sig / 0 TD ·
Medeiros: 25 sig / 0 TD
Joe Proctor
Yancy Medeiros
33
Sig strikes landed
30
77
Sig strikes attempted
79
51
Total strikes landed
39
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
73s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
31%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Joe Proctor
12-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Fina…
—
Blue corner
W1
Yancy Medeiros
16-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
—
L
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
L
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—