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Prelims2 Women's Strawweight

Aisling Daly vs Alex Chambers

The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Aisling Daly
Alex Chambers
85% 15%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 1"
63"
27
Age
Δ 9y
36

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Daly: 16 sig / 1 TD · Chambers: 12 sig / 1 TD
Aisling Daly
Alex Chambers
43
Sig strikes landed
33
82
Sig strikes attempted
64
79
Total strikes landed
60
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.2
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
191s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Aisling Daly

"Ais the Bash"
0-0
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Alex Chambers

"Astro Girl"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
63"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36