Main
Lightweight
KJ Noons vs Daron Cruickshank
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale
·Pearl Concert Theater
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
KJ Noons
Daron Cruickshank
40%
60%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
14-9
Career record
Δ 5 pp
19-10
W2
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Could Not Continue · Round 2
Noons: 18 sig / 0 TD ·
Cruickshank: 23 sig / 2 TD
KJ Noons
Daron Cruickshank
39
Sig strikes landed
44
96
Sig strikes attempted
118
48
Total strikes landed
51
0.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.3
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
19s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
KJ Noons
"King"
14-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
W
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
L
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Daron Cruickshank
"Detroit Superstar"
19-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs S…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—