Main
Welterweight
Erick Silva vs Mike Rhodes
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway
·Ginasio Jose Correa
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Erick Silva
Mike Rhodes
60%
40%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
30
Age
Δ 6y
25
19-10
Career record
Δ 3 pp
10-6
L1
Current streak
L2
8
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Silva: 2 sig / 1 TD ·
Rhodes: 2 sig / 0 TD
Erick Silva
Mike Rhodes
37
Sig strikes landed
22
74
Sig strikes attempted
72
51
Total strikes landed
44
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.2
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
140s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Erick Silva
19-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
L
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
Blue corner
L2
Mike Rhodes
"Biggie"
10-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
—