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Henry Cejudo vs Dustin Kimura

UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic ·Footprint Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Henry Cejudo
Dustin Kimura
53% 47%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 7"
71"
28
Age
Δ 2y
26
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cejudo: 72 sig / 0 TD · Kimura: 25 sig / 0 TD
Henry Cejudo
Dustin Kimura
34
Sig strikes landed
28
76
Sig strikes attempted
77
49
Total strikes landed
45
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.0
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
143s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
32%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Henry Cejudo

"Triple C"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
L1

Dustin Kimura

"The Diamond"
11-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
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W UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
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L UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
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W UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
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