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Anthony Birchak vs Ian Entwistle

UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic ·Footprint Center
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Anthony Birchak
Ian Entwistle
58% 42%
Why
29
Age
Δ 0y
28
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Birchak: 4 sig / 1 TD · Entwistle: 0 sig / 0 TD
Anthony Birchak
Ian Entwistle
38
Sig strikes landed
31
72
Sig strikes attempted
69
55
Total strikes landed
45
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
135s
Control time
64s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Anthony Birchak

"El Toro"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
L1

Ian Entwistle

"Enty"
9-4
Career record
Height
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
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