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Prelims1 Welterweight

Vik Grujic vs Chris Clements

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Vik Grujic
Chris Clements
46% 54%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
38
Age
Δ 1y
39
7-6
Career record
Δ 9 pp
12-7
W1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Grujic: 7 sig / 1 TD · Clements: 25 sig / 0 TD
Vik Grujic
Chris Clements
29
Sig strikes landed
34
77
Sig strikes attempted
67
49
Total strikes landed
46
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.3
4.2
Takedowns attempted
0.3
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
144s
Control time
88s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Vik Grujic

"The Spartan"
7-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
L UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
Blue corner
L1

Chris Clements

"The Menace"
12-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database 3 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
W UFC 145: Jones vs Evans