Prelims1
Middleweight
Dylan Andrews vs Sam Alvey
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping
·Qudos Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Dylan Andrews
Sam Alvey
41%
59%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
35
Age
Δ 6y
28
18-8
Career record
Δ 7 pp
33-19-1
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Andrews: 4 sig / 2 TD ·
Alvey: 6 sig / 0 TD
Dylan Andrews
Sam Alvey
46
Sig strikes landed
34
108
Sig strikes attempted
69
62
Total strikes landed
52
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.7
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
135s
Control time
50s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Dylan Andrews
"The Villain"
18-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
35
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
Blue corner
L1
Sam Alvey
"Smile'N"
33-19-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint…
—