Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Anthony Perosh vs Guto Inocente
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping
·Qudos Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Anthony Perosh
Guto Inocente
45%
55%
Why
42
Age
Δ 14y
28
15-11
Career record
Δ 1 pp
7-5
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Perosh: 11 sig / 1 TD ·
Inocente: 1 sig / 0 TD
Anthony Perosh
Guto Inocente
26
Sig strikes landed
21
42
Sig strikes attempted
41
45
Total strikes landed
19
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.2
2.4
Takedowns attempted
-0.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
148s
Control time
45s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
33%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Anthony Perosh
"The Hippo"
15-11
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
42
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—
W
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
—
L
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
—
W
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
W
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
—
Blue corner
L1
Guto Inocente
7-5
Career record
Height
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—