Back to UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux
Prelims1 Lightweight

Leandro Silva vs Charlie Brenneman

UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux ·Ginasio Municipal Tancredo Neves
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Leandro Silva
Charlie Brenneman
71% 29%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
29
Age
Δ 5y
34
20-7-1
Career record
Δ 4 pp
19-9
L2
Current streak
L4
2
UFC fights in our DB
10

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Silva: 4 sig / 1 TD · Brenneman: 4 sig / 3 TD
Leandro Silva
Charlie Brenneman
21
Sig strikes landed
17
44
Sig strikes attempted
37
54
Total strikes landed
48
1.4
Takedowns landed
2.0
2.6
Takedowns attempted
5.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
188s
Control time
222s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
28%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Leandro Silva

"Buscape"
20-7-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
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L UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
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Blue corner
L4

Charlie Brenneman

"The Spaniard"
19-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 10 fights · 4-6
Last 5
L UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
L UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
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L UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
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L UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
—
W UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
—