Prelims1
Lightweight
Leandro Silva vs Charlie Brenneman
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux
·Ginasio Municipal Tancredo Neves
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Leandro Silva
Charlie Brenneman
71%
29%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
29
Age
Δ 5y
34
20-7-1
Career record
Δ 4 pp
19-9
L2
Current streak
L4
2
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Silva: 4 sig / 1 TD ·
Brenneman: 4 sig / 3 TD
Leandro Silva
Charlie Brenneman
21
Sig strikes landed
17
44
Sig strikes attempted
37
54
Total strikes landed
48
1.4
Takedowns landed
2.0
2.6
Takedowns attempted
5.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
188s
Control time
222s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Leandro Silva
"Buscape"
20-7-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
Blue corner
L4
Charlie Brenneman
"The Spaniard"
19-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
10 fights · 4-6
Last 5
L
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—
L
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
L
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
—
W
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
—