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Main Welterweight

Claudio Silva vs Leon Edwards

UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux ·Ginasio Municipal Tancredo Neves
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Claudio Silva
Leon Edwards
34% 66%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
32
Age
Δ 9y
23
W1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Silva: 34 sig / 3 TD · Edwards: 33 sig / 0 TD
Claudio Silva
Leon Edwards
28
Sig strikes landed
37
62
Sig strikes attempted
78
53
Total strikes landed
55
2.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
5.9
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
244s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Claudio Silva

"Hannibal"
15-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
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Blue corner

Leon Edwards

"Rocky"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
23