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Main Welterweight

Dhiego Lima vs Jorge de Oliveira

UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux ·Ginasio Municipal Tancredo Neves
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Dhiego Lima
Jorge de Oliveira
72% 28%
Why
26
Age
Δ 9y
35
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lima: 70 sig / 6 TD · de Oliveira: 23 sig / 0 TD
Dhiego Lima
Jorge de Oliveira
32
Sig strikes landed
32
73
Sig strikes attempted
54
43
Total strikes landed
54
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
83s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
34%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Dhiego Lima

17-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
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Blue corner

Jorge de Oliveira

"Blade"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35