Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Donald Cerrone
Myles Jury
62%
38%
Why
73"
Reach
73"
32
Age
Δ 6y
26
37-17
Career record
Δ 13 pp
18-4
W5
Current streak
W6
15
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cerrone: 37 sig / 1 TD ·
Jury: 15 sig / 1 TD
Donald Cerrone
Myles Jury
43
Sig strikes landed
36
90
Sig strikes attempted
82
42
Total strikes landed
48
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.7
0.8
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
21s
Control time
170s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Donald Cerrone
"Cowboy"
37-17
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
15 fights · 12-3
Last 5
W
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
—
W
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
—
Blue corner
W6
Myles Jury
"Fury"
18-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
6 fights · 6-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
W
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
W
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
W
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—