Prelims1
Heavyweight
Shawn Jordan vs Jared Cannonier
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Shawn Jordan
Jared Cannonier
66%
34%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
30
Age
Δ 1y
31
W1
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jordan: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Cannonier: 10 sig / 0 TD
Shawn Jordan
Jared Cannonier
30
Sig strikes landed
29
56
Sig strikes attempted
63
45
Total strikes landed
43
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
140s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Shawn Jordan
"The Savage"
20-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
—
L
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
W
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
—
Blue corner
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
78"
Stance
Switch
Age
31