Main
Heavyweight
Todd Duffee vs Anthony Hamilton
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Todd Duffee
Anthony Hamilton
67%
33%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
29
Age
Δ 6y
35
10-3
Career record
Δ 13 pp
16-9
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Duffee: 8 sig / 0 TD ·
Hamilton: 2 sig / 0 TD
Todd Duffee
Anthony Hamilton
30
Sig strikes landed
35
66
Sig strikes attempted
64
46
Total strikes landed
47
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.2
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
57s
Control time
239s
Method
Decision
21%
KO/TKO
67%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Todd Duffee
10-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
L
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—
Blue corner
W1
Anthony Hamilton
"Freight Train"
16-9
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—