Main
Heavyweight
Travis Browne vs Brendan Schaub
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Travis Browne
Brendan Schaub
71%
29%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 1"
78"
32
Age
Δ 1y
32
18-8-1
Career record
Δ 4 pp
10-6
L1
Current streak
L1
10
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Browne: 25 sig / 1 TD ·
Schaub: 5 sig / 1 TD
Travis Browne
Brendan Schaub
28
Sig strikes landed
20
58
Sig strikes attempted
41
42
Total strikes landed
34
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
0.9
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
78s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
61%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Travis Browne
"Hapa"
18-8-1
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
10 fights · 7-2
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—
W
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
L
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
—
Blue corner
L1
Brendan Schaub
"Big Brown"
10-6
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
—
W
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
L
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
L
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—