Prelims1
Middleweight
Eddie Gordon vs Josh Samman
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Eddie Gordon
Josh Samman
34%
66%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
79"
31
Age
Δ 5y
27
9-4
Career record
Δ 9 pp
14-4
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Gordon: 8 sig / 2 TD ·
Samman: 11 sig / 1 TD
Eddie Gordon
Josh Samman
15
Sig strikes landed
26
34
Sig strikes attempted
59
24
Total strikes landed
37
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.0
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
30s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
65%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Eddie Gordon
"Truck"
9-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—
Blue corner
W1
Josh Samman
"Anqa"
14-4
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—