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Corey Anderson vs Justin Jones

UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II ·Mandalay Bay Events Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Corey Anderson
Justin Jones
64% 36%
Why
25
Age
Δ 2y
27
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Anderson: 45 sig / 7 TD · Jones: 28 sig / 0 TD
Corey Anderson
Justin Jones
29
Sig strikes landed
14
50
Sig strikes attempted
28
42
Total strikes landed
28
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
104s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Corey Anderson

"Overtime"
15-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
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Blue corner

Justin Jones

"Black Dynamite"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27