Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Henry Briones
Guido Cannetti
70%
30%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
34
Age
Δ 1y
35
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Briones: 32 sig / 0 TD ·
Cannetti: 35 sig / 1 TD
Henry Briones
Guido Cannetti
39
Sig strikes landed
35
80
Sig strikes attempted
71
55
Total strikes landed
46
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
148s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Henry Briones
"Bure"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
Blue corner
Guido Cannetti
"Ninja"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35