Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Ricardo Lamas
Dennis Bermudez
58%
42%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 5"
66"
32
Age
Δ 5y
28
21-8
Career record
Δ 6 pp
18-9
W1
Current streak
W7
6
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Lamas: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Bermudez: 8 sig / 0 TD
Ricardo Lamas
Dennis Bermudez
33
Sig strikes landed
42
89
Sig strikes attempted
105
50
Total strikes landed
59
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
4.4
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
96s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ricardo Lamas
"The Bully"
21-8
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—
L
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
—
W
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—
W
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Sa…
—
Blue corner
W7
Dennis Bermudez
"The Menace"
18-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
8 fights · 7-1
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
—
W
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—