Prelims1
Lightweight
Daron Cruickshank vs Anthony Njokuani
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine
·Scotiabank Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Daron Cruickshank
Anthony Njokuani
73%
27%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
29
Age
Δ 5y
35
18-11
Career record
Δ 7 pp
16-13
L1
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cruickshank: 42 sig / 6 TD ·
Njokuani: 40 sig / 0 TD
Daron Cruickshank
Anthony Njokuani
42
Sig strikes landed
52
106
Sig strikes attempted
104
55
Total strikes landed
65
1.5
Takedowns landed
-0.1
3.2
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
111s
Control time
5s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Daron Cruickshank
"Detroit Superstar"
18-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—
Blue corner
L1
Anthony Njokuani
"The Assassin"
16-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
W
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
L
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—