Main
Welterweight
Nordine Taleb vs Li Jingliang
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine
·Scotiabank Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Nordine Taleb
Li Jingliang
52%
48%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
33
Age
Δ 7y
26
16-7
Career record
Δ 1 pp
20-9
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Taleb: 66 sig / 2 TD ·
Jingliang: 43 sig / 2 TD
Nordine Taleb
Li Jingliang
43
Sig strikes landed
40
93
Sig strikes attempted
112
56
Total strikes landed
67
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.1
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
66s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Nordine Taleb
16-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
Blue corner
W1
Li Jingliang
"The Leech"
20-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—