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Main Middleweight

Elias Theodorou vs Bruno Santos

UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine ·Scotiabank Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Elias Theodorou
Bruno Santos
66% 34%
Why
26
Age
Δ 1y
27
17-3
Career record
Δ 4 pp
16-2
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Theodorou: 43 sig / 3 TD · Santos: 16 sig / 4 TD
Elias Theodorou
Bruno Santos
36
Sig strikes landed
27
61
Sig strikes attempted
53
58
Total strikes landed
43
1.2
Takedowns landed
2.7
2.6
Takedowns attempted
6.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
171s
Control time
201s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Elias Theodorou

"The Spartan"
17-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
Blue corner
W1

Bruno Santos

"Carioca"
16-2
Career record
Height
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
—
L UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—