Main
Lightweight
Diego Ferreira vs Beneil Dariush
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
·Ginasio do Maracanazinho
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Diego Ferreira
Beneil Dariush
47%
53%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
20-7
Career record
Δ 1 pp
24-8-1
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ferreira: 21 sig / 0 TD ·
Dariush: 32 sig / 3 TD
Diego Ferreira
Beneil Dariush
18
Sig strikes landed
21
55
Sig strikes attempted
57
23
Total strikes landed
28
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
62s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
31%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Diego Ferreira
20-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—
Blue corner
W1
Beneil Dariush
24-8-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs N…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—