Main
Light Heavyweight
Fabio Maldonado vs Hans Stringer
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
·Ginasio do Maracanazinho
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Fabio Maldonado
Hans Stringer
41%
59%
Why
35
Age
Δ 7y
27
23-12
Career record
Δ 2 pp
23-8-3
L1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Maldonado: 28 sig / 0 TD ·
Stringer: 33 sig / 3 TD
Fabio Maldonado
Hans Stringer
38
Sig strikes landed
50
76
Sig strikes attempted
112
64
Total strikes landed
70
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.5
0.7
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
67s
Control time
203s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Fabio Maldonado
"Caipira de Aco"
23-12
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
—
W
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
—
L
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
Blue corner
W1
Hans Stringer
23-8-3
Career record
Height
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—