Main
Light Heavyweight
Glover Teixeira vs Phil Davis
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
·Ginasio do Maracanazinho
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Glover Teixeira
Phil Davis
74%
26%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
79"
35
Age
Δ 5y
30
33-10
Career record
Δ 1 pp
17-5
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Teixeira: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Davis: 49 sig / 9 TD
Glover Teixeira
Phil Davis
46
Sig strikes landed
51
109
Sig strikes attempted
120
61
Total strikes landed
71
0.5
Takedowns landed
2.0
1.8
Takedowns attempted
6.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
79s
Control time
177s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Glover Teixeira
33-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
L
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
—
W
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
—
W
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
Blue corner
L1
Phil Davis
"Mr. Wonderful"
17-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
11 fights · 8-2
Last 5
L
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
W
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
—
W
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
W
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
L
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—