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Prelims1 Middleweight

Magnus Cedenblad vs Scott Askham

UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story ·Ericsson Globe
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Magnus Cedenblad
Scott Askham
46% 54%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 4"
75"
32
Age
Δ 6y
26
W2
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cedenblad: 23 sig / 3 TD · Askham: 42 sig / 0 TD
Magnus Cedenblad
Scott Askham
25
Sig strikes landed
19
52
Sig strikes attempted
41
44
Total strikes landed
37
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.4
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
197s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
27%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Magnus Cedenblad

"Jycken"
15-5
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
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W UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
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L UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
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Blue corner

Scott Askham

0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26