Prelims1
Welterweight
Nicholas Musoke vs Alexander Yakovlev
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
·Ericsson Globe
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Nicholas Musoke
Alexander Yakovlev
53%
47%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
13-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
24-11-1
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Musoke: 70 sig / 0 TD ·
Yakovlev: 44 sig / 0 TD
Nicholas Musoke
Alexander Yakovlev
30
Sig strikes landed
29
61
Sig strikes attempted
64
62
Total strikes landed
42
2.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
5.4
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
284s
Control time
103s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Nicholas Musoke
"Nico"
13-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
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W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
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Blue corner
L1
Alexander Yakovlev
"Russian Thunder"
24-11-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—