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Ilir Latifi vs Jan Blachowicz

UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story ·Ericsson Globe
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Ilir Latifi
Jan Blachowicz
33% 67%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
32
Age
Δ 1y
32
W2
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Latifi: 2 sig / 0 TD · Blachowicz: 13 sig / 0 TD
Ilir Latifi
Jan Blachowicz
22
Sig strikes landed
30
56
Sig strikes attempted
62
36
Total strikes landed
48
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.0
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
152s
Control time
83s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Ilir Latifi

"The Sledgehammer"
18-9 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
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W UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
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L UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
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Blue corner

Jan Blachowicz

0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32