Prelims1
Featherweight
Dennis Siver vs Charles Rosa
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
·Ericsson Globe
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Dennis Siver
Charles Rosa
59%
41%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
36
Age
Δ 8y
28
L1
Current streak
—
10
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Siver: 33 sig / 3 TD ·
Rosa: 22 sig / 2 TD
Dennis Siver
Charles Rosa
55
Sig strikes landed
45
128
Sig strikes attempted
107
78
Total strikes landed
58
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
156s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Dennis Siver
23-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
10 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—
L
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
Blue corner
Charles Rosa
"Boston Strong"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
28