Main
Lightweight
Gleison Tibau vs Piotr Hallmann
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski
·Ginasio Nilson Nelson
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Gleison Tibau
Piotr Hallmann
63%
37%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
34-14
Career record
Δ 5 pp
19-6
W1
Current streak
W1
12
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Tibau: 30 sig / 5 TD ·
Hallmann: 52 sig / 0 TD
Gleison Tibau
Piotr Hallmann
38
Sig strikes landed
44
104
Sig strikes attempted
102
55
Total strikes landed
66
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
4.4
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
134s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Gleison Tibau
34-14
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—
L
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
W
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
—
L
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
Blue corner
W1
Piotr Hallmann
"Pletwal"
19-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
—