Main
Lightweight
Leonardo Santos vs Efrain Escudero
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski
·Ginasio Nilson Nelson
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Leonardo Santos
Efrain Escudero
44%
56%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
35
Age
Δ 6y
29
18-7-2
Career record
Δ 2 pp
28-13
D1
Current streak
L3
2
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Santos: 36 sig / 2 TD ·
Escudero: 43 sig / 0 TD
Leonardo Santos
Efrain Escudero
37
Sig strikes landed
26
78
Sig strikes attempted
61
64
Total strikes landed
47
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.6
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
130s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
D1
Leonardo Santos
18-7-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 1-0
Last 2
D
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
Blue corner
L3
Efrain Escudero
"Hecho En Mexico"
28-13
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 1-4
Last 5
L
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
L
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
W
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
—