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Main Women's Bantamweight

Jessica Andrade vs Larissa Pacheco

UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski ·Ginasio Nilson Nelson
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Jessica Andrade
Larissa Pacheco
61% 39%
Why
23
Age
Δ 3y
20
W2
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Andrade: 19 sig / 1 TD · Pacheco: 6 sig / 0 TD
Jessica Andrade
Larissa Pacheco
46
Sig strikes landed
55
85
Sig strikes attempted
109
90
Total strikes landed
81
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
214s
Control time
163s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
26%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Jessica Andrade

"Bate Estaca"
27-15
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
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W UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
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L UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
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Blue corner

Larissa Pacheco

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
20