Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
James Vick
Valmir Lazaro
57%
43%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
28
Age
Δ 2y
29
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Vick: 77 sig / 0 TD ·
Lazaro: 91 sig / 4 TD
James Vick
Valmir Lazaro
31
Sig strikes landed
45
73
Sig strikes attempted
92
48
Total strikes landed
35
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
108s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
James Vick
"The Texecutioner"
14-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
Blue corner
Valmir Lazaro
"Bidu"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29