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Beneil Dariush vs Anthony Rocco Martin

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos ·BOK Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Beneil Dariush
Anthony Rocco Martin
61% 39%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
25
Age
Δ 1y
25
23-9-1
Career record
Δ 1 pp
17-7
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Dariush: 26 sig / 2 TD · Martin: 34 sig / 1 TD
Beneil Dariush
Anthony Rocco Martin
25
Sig strikes landed
20
48
Sig strikes attempted
39
46
Total strikes landed
37
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.9
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.00
103s
Control time
213s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
48%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Beneil Dariush

23-9-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs N…
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W UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
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Blue corner
L1

Anthony Rocco Martin

17-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
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