Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mike Pyle
Jordan Mein
24%
76%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
39
Age
Δ 14y
25
28-14-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
32-12
W1
Current streak
W1
11
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Pyle: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Mein: 10 sig / 0 TD
Mike Pyle
Jordan Mein
25
Sig strikes landed
30
63
Sig strikes attempted
64
39
Total strikes landed
34
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.4
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
124s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
63%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Mike Pyle
"Quicksand"
28-14-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
W
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
W
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carw…
—
W
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
—
Blue corner
W1
Jordan Mein
"Young Gun"
32-12
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
W
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—