Main
Lightweight
Benson Henderson vs Rafael Dos Anjos
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos
·BOK Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Benson Henderson
Rafael Dos Anjos
69%
31%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
31
Age
Δ 1y
30
25-7
Career record
Δ 12 pp
33-17
W2
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Henderson: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Dos Anjos: 18 sig / 0 TD
Benson Henderson
Rafael Dos Anjos
54
Sig strikes landed
38
123
Sig strikes attempted
101
80
Total strikes landed
49
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.1
4.9
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
140s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Benson Henderson
"Smooth"
25-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
10 fights · 9-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
—
L
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
W1
Rafael Dos Anjos
33-17
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—
W
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
—
W
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
—