Main
Heavyweight
Shawn Jordan vs Jack May
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux
·Cross Insurance Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Shawn Jordan
Jack May
80%
20%
Why
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
19-9
Career record
Δ 1 pp
9-4
L2
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Jordan: 32 sig / 3 TD ·
May: 20 sig / 0 TD
Shawn Jordan
Jack May
22
Sig strikes landed
13
29
Sig strikes attempted
26
49
Total strikes landed
27
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
241s
Control time
324s
Method
Decision
21%
KO/TKO
67%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Shawn Jordan
"The Savage"
19-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
—
L
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
W
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
—
L
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
—
Blue corner
L1
Jack May
"The Outlaw"
9-4
Career record
Height
80"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—