Main
Welterweight
Kiichi Kunimoto vs Richard Walsh
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
·Saitama Super Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Kiichi Kunimoto
Richard Walsh
51%
49%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
33
Age
Δ 8y
26
19-7-2
Career record
Δ 1 pp
10-5
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Kunimoto: 36 sig / 1 TD ·
Walsh: 59 sig / 0 TD
Kiichi Kunimoto
Richard Walsh
27
Sig strikes landed
21
51
Sig strikes attempted
31
43
Total strikes landed
43
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.1
3.8
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
204s
Control time
67s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Kiichi Kunimoto
"Strasser"
19-7-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
—
Blue corner
W1
Richard Walsh
"Filthy Rich"
10-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—